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What Completes a Phase Transition?

What completes a phase transition? Simple — capital inflow to the United States. For example, when oil was in the $10 range in 1998, we forecast that oil would rise to $100 by 2007.15. In court, the...

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The Major Fractal Wave of the Economic Confidence Model & 2032.95

Here is the Economic Confidence Model at the very high end to all the questions about how high up the fractal structure can be defined. We are in the grand Public Wave overall that peaks in 2032.85....

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Trust in Government – Data Aligns with ECM

Confidence in the very structure of the nation has been shaken amid this private wave where all trust in the government has been lost. A new Pew Research Center poll found that 72% of Americans...

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June Home Sales Drop in Line with ECM

I noted that real estate in the United States would turn into a buyer’s market in May 2024 going into August 2028 in a reversal from the buyer’s market we’ve experienced since 2020. The 2007 high on...

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Forecasting Recessions

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Summers-Economy-Not-Predictable.mp4   COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I find it incorrigible that everyone now claims recession when they have...

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Government’s Quest to Control AI and Mainatin Its Propaganda

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/MAA-Socrates.mp4   COMMENT #1: Dear Martin, I listened to Joe Rogan’s podcast interview w/Marc Andreessen where Marc reported that the...

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Georgescu Believes Ukraine will Divide – Is He Correct?

Romania’s Calin Georgescu has made headlines once more for calling Ukraine a “fictitious state” and suggesting that the nation will inevitably be divided. This man would have been president of Romania...

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A Flight to Treasuries?

  Some believe that Donald Trump is deliberately attempting to cause a sharp downturn in equities to force a flight into treasuries. If so, the Federal Reserve would have more of a reason to slash...

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The Economic Confidence Model v the 80-Year Cyclical Theory

The concept of cycles is becoming accepted in Western culture. Recently, people have been focusing on what they deem the 80-year cyclical theory, which marks a significant shift in humanity. While...

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Inflationary Pressures Began After 2015 – Tariffs are a Distraction

The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Expectations foresees inflation returning to “pre-tariff” levels. As I have mentioned, the rising costs were a mere price correction and not a permanent rise...

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