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The Dow & the Two Paths To Chaos

We have a Daily Bullish Reversal in the Dow at 18105.00. A closing above that will warn of a retest of the May high of 18421.13. We still do not see a major crash unfolding and the next three months …...

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Understanding Arrays & Time

One confusing aspect that people encounter is when a Time Straddle takes place on the Arrays. A Time Straddle occurs when the target in time straddles two weeks, months, quarters, or years. Sometimes...

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Asteroid to Hit Earth Sept 15-28? Really?

The alleged comet expected to hit the earth between September 15-28, 2015 has been denied by NASA. I find it curious that this doomsday prediction lined up with the ECM. Nothing in our model confirms...

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Diamonds: The Wild Card

We received a lot of e-mails regarding the collapse in diamond prices, which is closely correlating with gold without bank manipulations. This is part of the deflationary trend and the 2011 high was on...

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The Fed Rate Hike & U.S. Equities

Sometimes it really does not matter what the underlying truth might be – markets move based upon anticipation and typically reverse with the news. The Fed is looking more and more like it will begin to...

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The ECM Date October 1 = Fiscal Year-End

Congress kicked the can down the road to precisely the ECM target date. This is when the government will go into shutdown mode. There is a greater than 50/50 chance that there will be no deal to extend...

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The Dow & the Correction

The support on our weekly models lies at 17253 and 17068. Weekly closings beneath these numbers will confirm that a correction is in progress. Keep in mind that a decline in the share market should...

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False Move = August Low in Dow

A false move is measured from the high, not current time. Therefore, a FALSE MOVE would be two to three months from the May high in the Dow, which means an August low. That can be on a closing basis...

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Forecasting Against the Wind

  The leading story for the sell-off has been Wall Street’s shock by the mounting worries over instability in China and emerging markets. The tumultuous decline has sent investors clamoring to race...

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The Next Four Years After 2015.75

  QUESTION: What will happen after 2015.75? Can you share anything? Thanks from those who cannot attend your conference PD ANSWER: All systems tend to collapse in ten 8.6-year waves, and the last 4.3...

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How to Convert ECM Dates

  Note: Because this was over .5 of a day, we refer to this target as September 30/October 1.

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London Property Crashes – Off 11.5% in One Month

It appears the London property market bubble has peaked with Osbourne’s changes in taxation and the Economic Confidence Model. Already, just since the turn on September 30, London property prices have...

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Economists Do Not Try to Forecast the Business Cycle

  QUESTION: Marty, it was fantastic to meet you in Berlin and the conference really opened my eyes. Can’t wait for the sneak preview of the Trader level in Socrates. The Investor level is amazing...

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False Move = August Low in Dow

A false move is measured from the high, not current time. Therefore, a FALSE MOVE would be two to three months from the May high in the Dow, which means an August low. That can be on a closing basis...

View Article

Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

Forecasting Against the Wind

  The leading story for the sell-off has been Wall Street’s shock by the mounting worries over instability in China and emerging markets. The tumultuous decline has sent investors clamoring to race...

View Article


Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

The Next Four Years After 2015.75

  QUESTION: What will happen after 2015.75? Can you share anything? Thanks from those who cannot attend your conference PD ANSWER: All systems tend to collapse in ten 8.6-year waves, and the last 4.3...

View Article

Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

How to Convert ECM Dates

  Note: Because this was over .5 of a day, we refer to this target as September 30/October 1.

View Article


Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

London Property Crashes – Off 11.5% in One Month

It appears the London Property Market bubble has peaked with the Osbourne changes in taxation and the Economic Confidence Model. Already, just since the turn on September 30th, London property prices...

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Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

Are Terrorist Attacks Following the 8.6-Year Frequency?

We have many readers in Brussels who have my sincere sympathy for what is taking place in Europe. I have hesitated to be an alarmist with this aspect of our war cycle, but one reader sent this note...

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The Business Cycle Wins Again

A shopper takes part in Black Friday sales at a Target store in Chicago, Illinois, United States, November 27, 2015. REUTERS/Jim Young Reuters reported: U.S. economy stalls in first quarter as activity...

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